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... CIVIL UNREST - Thailand at DEFCON 4 (Nov 5, 2013)


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#1 brutox

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 05:55 AM

... it has started all over again ... media is now widely reporting thousands in the Bangkok streets in what appears as sustained anti-government protests ... local media reported 20,000 gathered in BKK's CBD yesterday ... as in years past:

  • Start monitoring daily news reports and following embassy travel warnings;
  • Protest rallies are conducted in clearly defined venues announced ahead of time (they are moving around a bit to confuse government efforts to prevent them) ... best to avoid these areas, or reserving rooms in hotels proximate to them;
  • Bangkok is still a good bet for safe travel;
  • No risks are apparent in the resort markets; and;
  • This could detonate into violence in a matter of hours ... and, that has been the history here.

... I believe this is the last chance for fugitive former Prime Minister Thaksin's political cronies to grant him amnesty, return him to Thailand, avoid jail, avoid further prosecutions for which is is yet to be tried, and return the USD 1.5 billion he corruptly gained ... I also believe this will not go away soon and is likely to steadily escalate ... this could be his last shot, and he gives a rats ass about what it does to the nation.

 

... as at now, I'd still come for holiday, but I'd rate Thailand at DEFCON 4 ... the potential threats from the government opposition are now back in the streets in large numbers.

 

... enjoy, but be situationally aware of where you are and what is going on around you.

 

________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

 

http://www.bangkokpo...-tourism-sector

 

Unease grows as politics threatens tourism sector

Bangkok Post, 5 Nov 2013

 

The hopes of retail and tourism firms for a high-season sales boost are being shattered by political problems.

 

It will grow worse if protests turn violent and Ratchaprasong intersection is seized by demonstrators in the style of 2010's red-shirt rally, says the Ratchaprasong Square Trade Association (RSTA).

 

Normally, the peak fourth quarter draws many foreign tourists and benefits hotels and shopping malls.

 

"The retail and tourism situation in Bangkok will continue its normalcy as long as the protests are still peaceful and do not paralyse major business districts or Ratchaprasong intersection like before," said Chai Srivikorn, the RSTA president.

 

The Ratchaprasong area is a tourist magnet. Foreigners account for 35-50% of sales at each shop in the district.

Mr Chai said demonstrations are not a problem in themselves. The real issue is management: a rally can happen anywhere in the world, but it must be under control of law.

 

"We don't understand the objective of the blanket amnesty bill," he said, "and the government has yet to explain it. We're facing a crisis of faith."

 

The RSTA is monitoring the situation and stands ready to talk with every group about security measures.

 

Yutthachai Charanachitt, president of Italthai Group, which owns the Onyx hospitality chain, said the political crisis in Thailand will affect high-end tourists the most because they are sensitive. The effect will be short-lived, though.

 

"If anything happens, we're confident the Thai tourism industry will bounce back rapidly," he said. "Thailand remains a world-famous tourist destination with a diversity of nature, culture and lifestyle."

 

The group's hotels have yet to see signs of cancelled bookings.

 

Sisdivachr Cheewarattanaporn, president of the Association of Thai Travel Agents, said his group worries that the ongoing demonstrations will dampen tourism growth this year.

 

The Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT) is likely to miss its 20% growth target for foreign tourism revenue to 1.174 trillion baht.

 

The TAT earlier revised up the target from 13% to 20% at mid-year, when prospects seemed brighter.

 

Mr Sisdivachr said the political discord will concern Japanese and Chinese tourists, who usually visit at this time.


Edited by brutox, 05 November 2013 - 06:06 AM.


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#2 andy666

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 06:00 AM

As long as the protesters don't take over the airport before friday it's all good for me......



#3 lavista4u

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 07:00 AM

We need to gauge other countries as well...mine India...Meh.....Nothing is happening here....Just like last time...even if they burn down the mall, shut down the airport, Thailand has lots of thing happening for itself that other countries simply cannot provide....even with all violence and corruption....There is no other alternative like Thailand....

 

After all the violence in Thailand couple of years back..Thailand tourism number increased not decreased...after few months

 

1. Good Food...

 

2. Great Night life

 

3. Cheaper Currency

 

4. Beaches

 

5. Good infrastructure specifically for tourists

 

Bangkok was named the most visited city in the world for 2013 breaking London and new york record

 

Simple put, even if Thailand has issues...Rest of the countries back home sucks even worse....


Edited by lavista4u, 05 November 2013 - 07:01 AM.


#4 yozz

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 07:55 AM

Hmmmmm never a dull holiday when you go to Thailand, thats for sure...........



#5 cbmgolfer

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 08:06 AM

They don't understand the purpose of the blanket amnesty bill?? Really?

Seems a pretty obvious Olly in free, as it were .... Forgive and forget and move on... Not a bad idea IMO. However, in my personal opion, they should ban Thaksin from political office and avoid all the future drama involved. Seems a simple way to appease the opposition... They mainly don't want him running things again.

#6 brutox

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 10:01 AM

They don't understand the purpose of the blanket amnesty bill?? Really?

Seems a pretty obvious Olly in free, as it were .... Forgive and forget and move on... Not a bad idea IMO. However, in my personal opion, they should ban Thaksin from political office and avoid all the future drama involved. Seems a simple way to appease the opposition... They mainly don't want him running things again.

.

... being a visitor here (however frequent), your misunderstanding can be forgiven ... Thaksin is banned from political office ... he is a convicted fugitive, with a string of charges still awaiting ... so, upon running, he placed at the top of his political party his sister, who is known here as Prime Minister Yingluck ... Thaksin continues running the Thai government from Dubai ... is that a stitch?

 

... Thailand's true character is not so apparent to non-residents, even from your close-by view just next door, cbmgolfer ... Thailand is nothing less than Third World Sub-Saharan tribalism, combined with Middle Ages European feudalism, combined with in-bred aristocracy ... a toxic culture, really.


Edited by brutox, 05 November 2013 - 10:01 AM.


#7 heathcliff81

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 11:20 AM

Here is hoping that the airport is still open on the morning of 9th November and the situation doesn't escalate too much.



#8 Harry Brown

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 12:10 PM

Here is hoping that the airport is still open on the morning of 9th November and the situation doesn't escalate too much.

 

 

Try and push that out to the fifteenth.



#9 heathcliff81

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 12:27 PM

Try and push that out to the fifteenth.

I will take that as I am spending a week in Bangkok and don't want to be held up in my hotel room all the time!



#10 THAJEC

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 12:56 PM

As long as the protesters don't take over the airport before friday it's all good for me......

:Agree1:  :GrinNod1:



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#11 padfoot

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Posted 05 November 2013 - 02:38 PM

They don't understand the purpose of the blanket amnesty bill?? Really?

Seems a pretty obvious Olly in free, as it were .... Forgive and forget and move on... Not a bad idea IMO. However, in my personal opion, they should ban Thaksin from political office and avoid all the future drama involved. Seems a simple way to appease the opposition... They mainly don't want him running things again.

 

He is running the show now. He runs the cabinet meetings via Skype. 




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